›› 2010, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (12): 62-66.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于联想神经网络算法的电力系统负荷预测

时广献,李春辉,李宏博   

  1. (河南镇平县电业局,河南 南阳〓474250)
  • 出版日期:2010-12-15 发布日期:2010-12-30
  • 作者简介:时广献(1967-),男,工程师。研究方向:电力电子。

Study of Electric Load Forecasting Based on Association Neural Network Optimization Algorithms

 SHI Guang-Xian, LI Chun-Hui, LI Hong-Bo   

  1. (Bureau of Power Industry of Zhenping County,Nanyang 474250,China)
  • Online:2010-12-15 Published:2010-12-30

摘要:

基于神经网络可以模仿人脑进行智能化信息处理,对大量非结构性、非确定性规律具有自适应功能,将人工神经网络的预测原理应用于电力系统负荷预测中。分析了负荷预测的基本概念,以及基于神经网络的预测原理中正向和逆向建模的基本结构,研究了联想神经网络优化算法。设计了电力系统负荷预测模型,并对系统进行仿真测试,试验结果表明,基于联想神经网络优化算法的电力系统负荷预测具有提高预测精度的效果。

关键词: 人工神经网络, 负荷预测, 电力系统, 联想, 优化算法

Abstract:

The artificial neural network has been applied in electric load forecasting based on the fact that it can process information intelligently by simulating the human brain and adapt to nonstructural and uncertain laws.This thesis analyzes the basic conception of load forecasting and the basic structure of forward modeling and backward modeling based on the prediction principle of the neural network.It also deals with association neural network optimization algorithms.The electric load forecasting model is designed,simulated and tested.The results of the experiment shows that the electric load forecasting which is based on association neural network optimization algorithms can improve the prediction accuracy further.

Key words: artificial neural network;load forecasting;power system;association;optimization algorithms

中图分类号: 

  • TN919.3+1